If you're considering applying for a mortgage and have taken a peek at interest rates, you've probably noticed something that's hard to miss: Rates are rising.
If you go back to as recently as 2016, a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged in the 3.5 percent range through most of the year, according to archived data maintained by Freddie Mac. And in years prior, 30-year FRMs occasionally reached even lower levels.
Today, the tide has turned a bit. As of mid-February, 30-year FRMs have increased every week in 2018, now averaging 4.22 percent, based on the most recent Primary Mortgage Market Survey from Freddie Mac.
The reversal raises a simple question: Why? The answer, admittedly, isn't quite as clear cut.
Like the residential marketplace itself, the forces behind mortgage shifts are numerous and variegated, and the relative influence of each variable can change. One of the chief effects is the economy. In bad times, when gross domestic product is low or unemployment is high, mortgage interest rates tend to be more affordable in an effort to stimulate borrowing and investment on the part of businesses and individuals who have the means to buy. This is part of the reason why in the aftermath of the recession, fixed-term mortgage loans for the most part stayed in the 4 percent range, reaching 5 percent only on a handful of occasions in 2010.
When the economy strengthens, like it did in 2017 and continues to do thus far in 2018, mortgage rates frequently rise, in part to prevent the economy from burning too hot.
Actions by Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve is the central banking authority in the U.S., charged with implementing monetary policy for the country. One of its main functions is determining short-term interest rates. The Fed doesn't unilaterally establish where interest rates will be, but participates in actions, like lending, that move them along.
Generally speaking, when the Fed raises the benchmark on interest rates, mortgage rates follow suit. While this isn't always the case, the actions by the central bank do have an influence. In February, the federal interest rate stood between 1.25 percent and 1.50 percent. Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal predict the Fed will adjust rates higher three or four times in 2018, noting the number could change.
Developments on the world stage
There's no denying that the U.S. has the largest economy in the world. California alone has a GDP that's on par with some of the world's leading countries.
But what’s going on in the U.S. doesn't occur in a vacuum. Because of the American free market economic system, what happens at the global level has an impact at home. Influences may include, but aren't limited to, political developments, employment availability, the cost of living and even fuel prices. Furthermore, much like the U.S. when the economy performs well, mortgage rates also rise when the global economy is robust. As noted by the Wall Street Journal, numerous countries had a stellar 2017, evidenced by new records among several major stock indexes, like Japan's Nikkei and Germany's DAX.
Everyone wants an affordable mortgage with the lowest rates possible. And even though their interest rates are higher, would-be buyers recognize they're still low. In fact, just 6 percent of buyers said they'd put off applying for a mortgage if rates surpassed 5 percent, according to a poll commissioned by Redfin. And even though rates are higher, borrowers are keeping up with their payments, as serious delinquencies (overdue by 90 days or more) fell in 48 of 50 states in November, based on the most recent statistics available from CoreLogic.
The mortgage approval process is a highly personal one and can be complicated if you're new to it. At Residential Mortgage Services, we guide our clients from beginning to end so they know exactly what to expect. High-quality, friendly service at RMS isn't just our specialty - it's our priority.
Millennials belong to the largest generation in the U.S. , according to the most recent Census Bureau data, and they're also highly diverse. Indeed, almost 45 percent are a part of a minority group. Given this, their attitudes don't always align. After all, they come from a host of different backgrounds and encompass several age groups (18 to 35 years of age).
But one area where millennials are in relative lockstep is homeownership. Many are experiencing the same obstacles to achieving the American dream, new polling data suggests.
The homeownership rate climbed in 2017, reaching 64.2 percent in the fourth quarter, according to the Census Bureau. Up from 63.7 percent in Q4 of 2016, homeownership is currently at its highest point since Q4 2014. It also ticked higher from 63.9 percent in the third quarter.
And believe it or not, it was none other than millennials who pushed homeownership forward. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, the percentage of buyers 35 years of age and under in 2017's closing quarter , up 1.3 percent from the fourth quarter of the preceding year.
Supply shortfall causing frustrations
But millennials have been met with a few bumps in the road, influenced largely by supply constraints. According to data from Realtor.com, numerous first-time homebuyers in the previous 12 months had , with inventory down almost 9 percent compared to the previous year. This caused asking prices to reach levels often beyond their financial means.
Joe Kirchner, Realtor.com senior economist, indicated builders can't move fast enough to shore up the number of property listings, but they still need to be mindful of buyers' budgets.
"Builders will need to focus more on homes geared for moderate incomes, partner with the government on initiatives to transform distressed urban neighborhoods and overcome labor shortages through a combination of workforce development training and pressure to ease artificial restrictions on the supply of labor," Kirchner said.
For 70 consecutive months, asking prices have risen on a year-over-year basis. In December, the , according to the National Association of Realtors. Inventory levels also fell in December from the same period 12 months ago, down 11.4 percent to just 1.4 million up for sale. That's the lowest amount on record.
If you're new to the homebuying process or are interested in applying for a mortgage, Residential Mortgage Services can help you get started. We originate mortgage loans throughout the Midwest, South and Northeast, and our loan officers are ready to provide you with the options that best fit your needs and budget.
On every mortgage loan application there is a section of questions that can feel a bit uncomfortable to ask and answer. Most people expect to answer questions about how much money they make, how much they have tucked away in a bank account and what their credit card debt looks like. It’s a financial transaction, after all. Financial questions ought to be in there. But race? Ethnicity? Which gender I identify with… what does that have to do with a mortgage approval?
And the answer is: Nothing at all.
Questions about race, gender, age, ethnicity, etc. have nothing to do with the mortgage approval process. Even though the questions are asked and answered right there in the same paperwork as your car payment and income, nothing in that section is used as a factor in evaluating whether you are a good candidate for a mortgage loan.
Why are they there at all? To protect you.
You see, in our country’s efforts to protect citizens from unfair biases in the lending world, it became apparent that we couldn’t fix what we couldn’t see. We needed to be able to track the lending opportunities offered within communities in order to catch unfair practices and do something about it. In 1975 the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) was passed, giving the public and financial regulators information to make sure financial institutions were providing access to residential mortgage loans in their communities. This was expanded to include questions that could help identify discriminatory lending patterns. After the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank Act) was passed in 2010, new questions were added to help spot troublesome trends. In January 2018 even more additional questions became a requirement.
What should I do when I come across these questions?
It’s up to you how you choose to respond, and your choice won’t make any difference on whether your mortgage loan is approved. Maybe you take the view that the more accurately these questions are answered, the better the statistics will be, and you’re doing your part to help mortgage lending be as fair as possible. Or perhaps you’re uncomfortable identifying yourself in those terms and would rather not give an answer. This is an option that you’re welcome to choose. Either way is fine. If you do choose to answer, though, please answer honestly.
Here’s a fact that not many people know, going into a mortgage application meeting: If you meet with your Loan Officer in person and decline to answer the HMDA questions, your Loan Officer is required to make a best guess and answer the questions for you.
If you have questions or feel uncomfortable about the HMDA questions, talk to your Loan Officer about your concerns. They’ll be able to talk to you and explain your options.
We’re wishing a Happy Birthday to the U.S. Marine Corps today and sending our Heartfelt Thanks to all Veterans tomorrow, on Veteran’s Day. Questions come up from time to time about the VA Home Loan Program, and now is probably a perfect time to take a closer look.
The VA Home Loan Program is a low cost borrowing alternative designed for eligible Active Duty Military, Veterans, National Guard and Reservists. VA Home Loans are provided by private lenders (banks, mortgage companies, etc.). The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) guarantees a portion of the mortgage loan, which allows these lenders to offer more favorable terms to help you buy, build, repair, retain or adapt a home for your own personal occupancy.
“I hear there is extra paperwork when you do a VA mortgage loan. Why would I bother with it?”
There are a few extra documents involved in processing a VA Home Loan, such as the DD214 and your Certificate of Eligibility, but the time spent filling out a few extra questions and hunting down an extra document or two may be well worth it.
A VA Home Loan allows you to buy a house with no down payment (up to a $424,100 value), with mortgage interest rates that are typically even better than the popularly attractive “conventional mortgage” rates. And while conventional mortgages require monthly mortgage insurance payments to be added when the down payment falls below 20%, this is not true of VA Home Loans.
“I’ve heard that there is a VA Funding Fee. What is that?”
The VA Funding Fee is your contribution. It is a percentage of the loan amount. That percentage depends on the type of loan, your military category, if you are a first time or subsequent loan user, and down payment (if you choose to make one). You can pay the funding fee at settlement or choose to finance it into your mortgage if you want to keep closing costs down.
“Does everyone have to pay the VA Funding Fee?”
There are exceptions for service-connected disability. If you receive VA compensation for a service-connected disability or would be entitled to receive compensation if you didn’t receive retirement or active duty pay, the VA Funding Fee is waived. This is true as well for a surviving spouse of a Veteran who died in service or from a service-connected disability.
“Can I get help covering closing costs?”
Family members and even the home seller are allowed to help with closing costs, which is not often the case with other mortgage programs. In essence, this is a program designed to make it affordable for our veterans and active duty military to own a home.
Many people think that the VA Home Loan Program is only for purchases, or that these VA mortgage loan benefits can only be used once. Not so.
Did You Know…
- VA Home Loan benefits can be used more than once
- Disabled veterans could be eligible for additional benefits
- Eligibility benefits can be used for purchase or refinance
- You can use your VA entitlement to finance more than one property
- Adjustable and Fixed Rate Mortgages are available
- Jumbo (high dollar amount) programs are available with minimum down payment
- The Borrower has the right to pre-pay without penalty
Eligibility requirements are based on length of service or service commitment, duty status and character of services, so you’ll want to speak with a loan officer to examine your options. The good news is that with this program many of those options are extremely helpful.
All of the steps you’ve taken so far to turn yourself into a more successful mortgage candidate should leave you in a good position to make your big decision for moving forward. You’ve done your Research, Asked Questions, Accepted Guidance from the professionals and considered Comfort when it comes to making your monthly payments. Now you’re ready to choose where to apply for your mortgage loan.
Step Five: Choose Wisely
As you’ve no doubt guessed by now, you have a lot of options. You can spin yourself in circles trying to ask everyone you know which mortgage company is best to work with, scouring online reviews and testing the temperature of public opinion. You could twist yourself into knots wondering if you have to call the loan officer your real estate agent mentioned in order for things to go smoothly, or if it’s better to go through a dedicated mortgage company instead of a local bank.
Though that mortgage person your friends suggested is “really nice,” that may not mean they have access to all of the options you’d need. That one questionable online review for that loan officer, who seemed to know their stuff when you talked to them, may not tell the whole story. Just because your real estate agent handed you a mortgage company’s phone number, that doesn’t increase your chances of getting the house or obligate you to go through that company for your mortgage. Your local bank and independent mortgage companies may have different loan products and timing for processing mortgage applications. You aren’t going to learn the answer to all of this. What you can focus on is identifying what you’re going to trust.
You may be a person who takes a look at a company’s technology offerings and decides to work with the company that has done the most to protect their clients’ personal information. Perhaps you’re a person who trusts the companies who spend the most on advertising and their name is the first to come to your mind. Maybe you’re a look in the eye and test the handshake kind of person. Online reviews might be the deciding factor. Any way you slice it, the question of trust boils down to your preference.
That said, you might want to factor these in when making your decision:
You may or may not be aware that sending personally identifying information (info a criminal could use to access your financial accounts or steal your identity) through email or social media messages isn’t considered safe. Make sure your mortgage company is already aware of this and offers secure methods for you to provide your sensitive information to them.
Good News Fast, Bad News Even Faster
You’re going to want to find out quickly when something has not gone according to plan. That gives you and your mortgage team time to look at your options and get things moving forward again. It’s important to work with someone who will communicate with you promptly throughout the process.
Everyone wants to hear that a mortgage company can process their mortgage and have approval in their hand inside a week. There are many steps in the mortgage approval process, some within the mortgage company and some with other parties, such as appraisers, insurance quotes and title research. It’s important that each of these steps is done correctly, and in the right order. If a mortgage company is claiming that they think they can have you approved in half the time that other companies are quoting, it’s a good idea to ask questions about how they’re able to make this happen. You may have a better experience working with someone who sets realistic expectations up front than struggle with missed deadlines and disappointment.
The decision is yours. You’ve done your research and have the tools you need. Now get out there and choose wisely.